NOAA Winter Outlook Favors Warmer Than Normal Temperatures For Our Area

A plow makes its way under a railroad bridge as light snow falls during a snowstorm March 21 in Lebanon N.J

A plow makes its way under a railroad bridge as light snow falls during a snowstorm March 21 in Lebanon N.J

Weak El Nino conditions favor relatively mild winter temperatures across Minnesota, the Upper Midwest and much of the rest of the country, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said Thursday in its annual winter outlook. "The last cold winter that the country saw was back in 2013-14, and I'd expect MI to probably follow that pattern".

In the U.S. Winter Outlook for December through February, higher-than-normal temperatures are expected across the western and northern U.S., Alaska, and Hawaii.

Other climate patterns that can affect winter weather are challenging to predict on a seasonal time scale.

"NOAA" s Winter 2018 temperature outlook for the United States. It is expected to be weaker than the El Nino that developed during the 2015/2016 winter.

The NOAA said that the Southeast, Tennessee Valley, Ohio Valley, and Mid-Atlantic all have equal chances for below-, near- or above-average temperatures.

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The northern Rockies, northern Plains, Great Lakes and northern Ohio Valley are likely to see below-average precipitation, including snow.

- No part of the favored to have below-average temperatures.

Precipitation is expected to be above normal across the southern tier of the USA, extending up into the Mid-Atlantic.

Much of the state has at least a 33 percent chance of a warmer than normal season, with areas nearer the northwest corner of Kansas having at least a 40 percent chance of a warmer season, NOAA's Climate Prediction Center said in a news release. Northern Florida and southern Georgia have the greatest odds for above-average precipitation this winter.

Hawaii, Montana, Michigan, parts of Idaho, Wisconsin, northern Illinois, Indiana and OH are forecast to be drier than normal, with the biggest likelihood in Hawaii, Montana and Michigan.

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But they are expected to get better in Arizona and New Mexico, southern parts of Utah and Colorado, the coastal Pacific Northwest and the Central Plains, NOAA said.

-This outlook does not project seasonal snowfall accumulations.

NOAA will provide an update to the forecast in November.

Farmer's Almanac Editor Peter Geiger said in late August his publication predicts "a very long, cold and snow-filled winter".

If the snowfall earlier this week reminded you how much you don't like the winter cold, you may be in luck.

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