Hurricane Bud weakened rapidly off Mexico's Pacific coast Tuesday as forecasters said they expected cooler waters to rob the storm of most of its punch before it reached the resorts at the southern end of the Baja California Peninsula later in the week. On the Atlantic side, Subtropical Storm Alberto slammed into the Mexican Caribbean in late May, forcing the evacuation of oil workers in the Gulf of Mexico and killing nearly 10 people in Cuba and in the U.S. Southeast.
As of 5 p.m. ET, Bud had winds of 75 miles per hour and was moving to the northwest at 9 miles per hour.
Heavy rain is likely to become the main hazard from the storm over Baja California and Mexico's adjacent mainland coast.
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Torrential downpours could cause "life-threatening" flash floods, mudslides and waves along coastal areas in Mexico, the NHC said. Computer models show the potential for 4 to 8 inches, with isolated amounts up to 10 inches. Small rivers and streams may quickly rise out of their banks and turn into deadly torrents.
"Bud" ramped up to a Category 3 hurricane.
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NOAA's Climate Prediction Center has released an outlook for precipitation from June 17-21. An average Eastern Pacific hurricane season sees the first hurricane form by June 26.
Forecasters are also watching a weather system in the Caribbean, which the hurricane center gives a 20% chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm within the next five days.
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