The National Hurricane Center has named a disturbance in the Caribbean Sea.
If the storm organizes into a closed low with winds less than 39 miles per hour, it will likely become our first tropical depression of the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season. The National Hurricane Center is giving this region an 80 percent chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm in the next five days. Try viewing this in a modern browser like Chrome, Safari, Firefox or Internet Explorer 9 or later. This is actually something the computer models have been indicating for over a week now. Just because the named cyclone is a "subtropical" entity at this time, it needs to be taken extremely seriously because the same impacts as a tropical storm or low-end hurricane can be felt and are expected across parts of the Southeast.
It is forecast to dump about 10-15 inches of rain across those regions, with upwards of 25 inches possible, and produce flash flooding for Mexico, Cuba and the Keys before turning to the northwest and approaching the Alabama-Mississippi border by Monday morning.
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Florida Gov. Rick Scott said the state is preparing.
"Instead of having warmer temperatures throughout its core, like a tropical storm, its upper levels are still quite cool, like what you'd typically see with winter and spring low pressure systems", said Will Ulrich, a meteorologist with the Weather Service in Melbourne.
Winds will be on the breezy side on Saturday but won't start to peak until Saturday evening when Alberto gets closer.
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The projected paths of this system range from Louisiana to the west coast of Florida. "The ground is already saturated, so more rain will only cause more".
Alberto will begin to bring us rain on Sunday night, but the rain chance looks to tick up more so beginning on Memorial Day and lasting through at least Wednesday.
- Forecasters say there is now a very high chance of a tropical system forming in the Gulf of Mexico over the next few days.
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"Alberto could bring tropical storm conditions and storm surge to portions of the central and eastern Gulf Coast later this weekend and early next week", the hurricane center said. As of the 5 pm update from the National Hurricane Center, the storm was maintaining winds of 40 miles per hour, the force of a weak tropical storm.
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